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Short-Term Trade: Japan
Japan, Micron Trade Update, and Hedge Funds Deleveraging
New trade: Japan By @Ben Cap$ 27.03.2025
Been looking for trade ideas outside the US given the challenging environment.
Japan looks interesting for a short-term trade. Its trading range has held up, with potential for the index to push towards 40K, given capital inflows from March dividend reinvestments and portfolio position reloading from domestic investors for the fiscal new year starting April 1st . Q4 earnings season starting around late April could also be a catalyst for the Japan market.
Japan stocks have loss some momentum, and largely fallen out of the spotlight. The August 5 selloff did a lot of damage and most likely shook many investors. Foreign capital positioning in Japan stocks is at the lows, despite attractive market fundamentals. TPX is trading around 13x forward PE, and currently forecasted for double digit EPS growth.
Given the market conditions in the US, we are already seeing increased capital flows to Europe. Japan seems like a logical extension of that trend.
Trade Update: Micron By @Big Loitte 24.03.2025
The company reported quarterly earnings last week.
Despite the “beat-and-raise” the stock fell.
GAAP earnings doubled from a year ago and operating cash flow more than tripled!
Micron’s HBM chip sales surpassed the $1 billion mark, an increase of 50% sequentially
Micron is on track to beat earnings five times in…
SPX is officially down over -10%, entering correction territory By @LazyTrader 14.03.2025
Monday saw massive de-leveraging across hedge funds, but a rally in popular shorts and declines in crowded longs made de-grossing harder, as capital declines kept leverage ratios above target, which necessitate further de-leveraging. Likely some forced liquidation with TSLA diving -15% and MSTR falling -17% during Monday’s trading session.
Fundamental equity funds have continued to reduced market exposure, resulting in the largest…
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