Trade Alert

Long Snowflake, Short C3ai

Long Snowflake, Short C3ai

Posted by Club Member Bonds 8.11.23

• Snowflakes’ Triple Threat: Topline growth from continued cloud migration; strong free cash flow margins; and an underappreciated AI kicker

• Datadog surged 28% on Tuesday, after the company reported stronger than expected Q3 earnings and full-year guidance. There’s likely some readthrough to what investors could expect to see in Snowflake’s quarterly results coming out in late November.

• Interest rates have likely peaked. If indeed the Fed is done hiking, and the markets begin pricing in a Fed cut somewhere in 2024, SNOW and other “speculative tech” could see further market support.

• The AI hype train pushed C3ai to $46, from $11 at the start of the year. I think C3ai is an “AI pretender”. The stock currently trades at $27.6, and will most likely keep fading as the hype around its “AI story” disintegrates.

• A Snowflake/C3ai spread trade, looks to be a compelling market-neutral trade to put on. The Short on C3ai should offer downside protection in the event there’s a broad base market rotation away from the “speculative tech” basket (e.g., if interest rates were to move dramatically higher again!).

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#Snowflake #C3ai #New Ideas #Spread Trade

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